Wednesday, March 15, 2006
Quick analysis :These forecasts will be used to study traffic modeling for the new Regional Transportation Plan, which will set a direction for the next few decades. The most obvious observation that can be made is that enormous quantities of greenspace will disappear from the region in the next 30 years. In fact, all large green areas remaining in Harris County will vanish. It's first important to understand that H-GAC's forecasts are essentially based on recent trends and policies. So the projections do not reflect choices that can be made about public policies, particulary about transportation policy. As Metrostudy president Mike Inselmann has said "The city grows where developers buy land and they buy land where new transportation corridors get developed." An example of this dynamic is evident in the maps: they show significant new development happening all along the proposed Grand Parkway, which is shown on H-GAC's maps as a new transportation corridor - although most of it doesn't exist yet, and no construction contracts have been let for expansion.
The forecast covers eight counties: Brazoria, Chambers, Fort Bend, Galveston, Harris, Liberty, Montgomery, and Waller